This outlook is designed to provide a basic point of reference for anyone wishing to become more informed about the energy. Recognising the progress and accomplishments of the asean ec energy. Impact of paris agreement on asean energy sector energy central. Table 31pr mary energy demand outlook by fuel type mtoe. While gas production grows, some oil exporting countries now become importers to meet a rising internal demand. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 international energy forum. Multiple pathway for increasing the shares of re across all enduse sectors. This outlook is a product of a joint effort between asean member states, the asean centre for energy ace and the. Those across the association of southeast asian nations asean region have. Our emphasis in this report and elsewhere in iea work is on realworld solutions to our energy dilemmas and needs.
On the side of an exhaustive report on energy supply continue reading overview of oil. Endorsed by the 30th asean ministers on energy meeting amem on 12 september 2012 in phnom penh, cambodia, the asean centre for energy ace was tasked to coordinate and lead the working group aeo wg which comprises of experts from all of the 10 asean member states, to develop the 4th asean energy outlook aeo that is planned to be reported and published at the 33rd amem next. Mitigation potential for a specific period of time. Energy intensity 100% 120% 60% 80% e l 100% bau 2005 lev 40% energy intensity has already started to drop in asean aps and will further drop in both scenarios 0% 20% and will further drop in both scenarios aps roughly in line with apaec target 40% source. Centre for energys ace 4 th asean energy outlook aeo4. The association of southeast asian nations asean, with its ten member countries, has a total population exceeding 600 million.
Energy efficiency developments and potential energy savings. Sanjayan velautham asean overview asean, consisting of 10 nations, can be considered as a community of opportunities. Key energy facts affordable, reliable and sustainable energy plays a central role in improving living standards and unlocking economic potential. The 4th asean energy outlook 20 2035 fraunhofer isi. The asean centre for energy ace, established on january 1, 1999 as an intergovernmental organization, is guided by a governing council composed of the senior officials on energy of the asean member states ams. Energy sustainability is based on 3 three core dimensions. Energy security and sustainable development in a sia and the pacific. Commonwealth of independent states, china, northeast asia, southeast asia, southwest asia, and oceania.
About 40% of aseans energyrelated co 2 emissions are currently attributable to electricity production. Cigs seminar on energy and environment energy outlook and challenges of asean ir. The ten association of southeast asian nations asean countries are among the most dynamic parts of the global energy system and a rising force in international energy affairs. Natural gas, he tnewest of the fossil fuels, exceeds oil and becomes the largest energy source in the united states around 2030and in the european union eu by 2040. Leeber leebouapao director general national economic research institute neri lao pdr july 2014. Pdf the 4th asean energy outlook 2015 researchgate. According to the 5th asean energy outlook, a publication issued by the asean centre for energy ace in 2017 that shows future energy landscapes in asean based on energy policies and targets of the ten memberstates, total energy consumption in commercial and industrial sectors in the region driven by increasing per capita income is expected to. Posadas led the association of southeast asian nations asean discussions on the various agenda under the asean plan of action for energy cooperation apaec 20162025. With a fast growing asean having gdp growth of 76% from 2007 to 2014, the ability to influence climate change is even more for asean countries as around 50% of the population is under 30 years old. In order to effectively utilize regional energy resources, asean countries plan to internationally connect their energy infrastructures such as the electric grids.
Asean energy officials map out cooperation activities september 26 2017 asean at work. Since 2010, there has been a transition in regional economies. The development of stable, affordable, and environmentally sensitive energy systems defies simple solutions. It is a young society with a population of 625 million. Southeast asia energy outlook 2019 connaissance des energies.
Established on 1 january 1999, the asean centre for energy is an intergovernmental organisation. This outlook is designed to provide a basic point of reference for anyone wishing to become more informed about the energy choices facing the apec region. This means that there is a common nonstationary trend that explains the behavior of these time series. Moving together towards sustainable energy in asean. In this scenario, energy conservation and lowcarbon technologies are promoted for maximum impacts, as each country is assumed to implement powerful policies to enhance energy security and address climate change issues. The asean state is planning to achieve an appropriate energy generation mix including managing the balance between renewable and nonrenewable sources. The 3rd asean energy outlook is the third edition of the asean energy outlooks that were prepared in 2006 and 2008 in conjunction with the somemeti joint cooperation program on capacity building for energy supply security planning in the asean esspa. Two thirds of the energy growth comes from nonoecd asia. Thanks to its growing partnership with southeast asia, the international energy agency iea has conducted regular indepth studies of the energy challenges facing this region.
Moving towards asean connectivity with the asean power grid. This southeast asia energy outlook was a collaborative effort under the overall direction of tim gould and the world energy outlook team, with major contributions from. Asean plan of action for energy cooperation apaec 20162025. Energy efficiency developments and potential energy. The 4th asean energy outlook aeo4 underlines the potential for the use of renewable. Asean other asi a mena ss afric a latin americ a europe intl. The state of play across the southeast asias energy sector, based on the. Adbs asian development outlook ado 20 estimates that regional economic growth in the asia pacific region will pick up to 6. Brune darussalamindones amalays aph l pp nes east asean growth area. Asiaworld energy outlook focusing on asean economies towards.
Asean climate outlook forum the regional climate outlook forums rcofs have been operational in many parts of the world with the aim to provide collaboratively developed and consensusbased seasonal climate outlooks and related information on a regional scale. A closeddoor ministersceos dialogue between the 10 asean ministers of energy and ceos of no more than 12 active energy companies in the region, for strategic discussions on meeting the energy demands of aseans fast growing economies. Impact of paris agreement on asean energy sector energy. Asean energy business forum leverage international. Energy efficiency trends throughout asean asean centre. The asean regional forum and security governance in asia. This outlook is a product of a joint effort between asean member states, asean centre for. For those who want to go deeper in the understanding of issues, opportunities and security implications of oil and gas in asean, have a look at the the report from the iea that does present more analysis on both fuels, with regards to production, consumption, imports and energetic security.
With increased focus on environmental friendly projects, the energy landscape will change forever also impacting the way energy is procured. A list of internet resources related to energy in asean and the us. Energy efficiency developments and potential energy savings in the greater mekong subregion energy efficiency developments and potential energy savings. Established on 1 january 1999, the asean centre for energy is. Philippine department of energy doe undersecretary jesus cristino p. This echoed the findings from the official asean publication, by the asean centre for energy ace, the 4th asean energy outlook aeo4 which was released during the 33rd asean. It was held in jakarta, indonesia, and aimed to provide strategic discussions. The southeast asia energy outlook 2019 is the fourth edition of this world energy outlook special report. Asean energy cooperation and energy market integration asean energy cooperation through apaec aseans first policy move in the field of energy was the creation, in 1976, of the asean council on petroleum ascope with a specific focus on oil. Asean centre for energy ace is an intergovernmental organisation within asean structure that represents the 10 asean member states ams interests in the energy sector.
Click to enlarge energy supply security 2014 report. Energy output correlation the movingaverage energy coefficients for commercial energy consumption for asean are. Few places is this more true than in the ten countries that makeup the association of southeast asian nations asean. Asean energy market integration aemi energy security and connectivity. Joni jupesta asean centre for energy the 4thasean energyoutlook symposium on sustainable power supply mix in the future, energy outlook 20 november 2015 bangkok thailand20 november 2015, bangkok, thailand. The southeast asia energy outlook 2019 is the fourth. The resulting energy coefficient for commercial energy was therefore high compared to that for the later stages when, increasingly, a greater share of the total energy consumption was taken up by commercial fuels. Asean energy officials map out cooperation activities. This new report, which was prepared as part of the ieas flagship world energy outlook series, provides insights for policy makers, industry and other energy stakeholders to help address the energy sector challenges facing southeast asia today. Renewable energy outlook for asean 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2014 2020 2025 2030 renewable energy share in tpes asean target.
Asean energy cooperation work plan 20162020, namely energy efficiency and conservation, renewable energy, power sector, natural gas and petroleum, as well as other energyrelated issues. Asean energy and resources sector distress, divestitures. Energy poverty in asean page 2 of 2 coal in the energy mix voracious demand for electricity presents challenges and opportunities for southeast asia as the regions governments seek to deliver an energy mix that balances social, economic and environmental imperatives. This is a distinct improvement on 2012, when growth stood at just over 6%. Jan 24, 2018 the international energy agency iea regularly published its world energy outlook report. Energy outlook aeo projections, nems is used to complete. Reassessing energy security and the transasean natural. Apec energy demand and supply outlook 4th edition foreword iii foreword we are pleased to present the report, apec energy demand and supply outlook 4th edition. This 20 edition covers asean energy data from 2002 to 2011, and the calculation flow for the asean energy balance is in line with the energy chain which is shown in annex 1. The average annual per capita commercial energy consumption in the asean countries, 19601986. Aseans energy demand to increase by 80% to just over 1070 million tonnes of oil equivalent mtoe, comparable to three times japans current total energy demand.
Part of the energy supply and security planning in the asean esspa programme, funded by the ministry of economy, trade and industry meti of japan, joint output by the asean centre for energy ace, the institute of energy economics, japan ieej and national esspa teams. The final results of aeo5 are inline with ams expectations of their future energy landscape, in particular with their national expectations of future economic and population growth. Overview of aseans energy needs and challenges asia 99 asia in ascendancy conference energy needs in asia university town, nus melissa low energy analyst energy studies institute, national university of. The 4th asean energy outlook aeo4 not only aims to provide policy makers with an understanding of the energy trends and challenges being faced by the region up to the year 2035, but also to. Opportunities and challenges of lao pdrs integration into asean economic community aec by and after 2015 dr. On 24 26 may 2016, the asean energy market integration aemi and heads of asean power utilitiesauthorities hapua jointly organised a workshop titled powering asean.
In addition to its use in developing the annual energy outlook aeo projections, nems is also used to complete analytical. Asean energy demand 787 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 year fig. Table 12pr mary energy ntens t es, ch na and oecd, 2003 16. For this paper, we prepared a longterm energy supply and demand outlook for asia and other. Sep 16, 2017 many southeast asian countries produce fossil fuels. The intention was to develop an energy demand outlook model in asean while at the same time provide capacity building to asean. Asiaworld energy outlook focusing on asean economies. The asean regional forum and security governance in asiapacific in the aftermath of wwii, and once again at the end of the cold war, europeans created order and thereby assured their stability. Reaffirming the asean energy cooperation as stipulated in the agreement on asean energy cooperation signed in manila, philippines on 24 june 1986, in the protocol amending this agreement signed in bangkok, thailand on 15 decemrer 1995, and in subang jaya, malaysia on 23 july 1997.
As previously shown weber and huang 2008, they did so by transcending historical legacies, but also by including. Energy information administration international energy outlook 2016 103 uildings sector energy consumption nonoecd asia china and india account for 27% of the worlds residential energy consumption in 2040, in the ieo2016 reference case, up from 19% in 2012. Reflecting its growing partnership with southeast asia, international energy agency has conducted these indepth studies every two years since 20. The 5th asean energy outlook aeo5 was developed based on the energy policies and targets of 10 asean. The fact that aseans energy consumption is likely to continue during the next several decades to be dominated by fossil fuels is also a source of concern in the face of the increasing. Overview of oil and gas in southeast asia asean up. Energy information administration international energy outlook 2016 101 chapter 6 buildings sector energy consumption overview energy consumed in the buildings sector consists of residential and commercial end users and accounts for 20. The 3rd asean energy outlook v acknowledgements the 3rd asean energy outlook is a project under the somemeti energy cooperation program on the energy supply security planning in the asean esspa. Southeast asia energy outlook 2019 analysis and key findings. These three goals constitute a trilemma, entailing complex.
Support the implementation of the asean plan of action on energy cooperation apaec 20162020, particularly in areas outlined in the u. Enhancing energy connectivity and integration in the 20th years of ace. Energy stockpiling in the asean energy studies institute. Ieej outlook 2018 3 ieej outlook, only four countries, japan, the united kingdom, italy and germany, consume less natural gas in 2050 than today. Irena is grateful to the german and japanese governments, whose support of the remap programme make the publication of reports like this one a reality. Agreement on the establishment of the asean centre for energy tha governments of brunei darussalam, the republic of indonesia, the lac peoples democratic republic, malaysia, the union of myanmar, the. Part of this report, the iea has prepared an specific report for the southeast asian region detailing current production and consumption trends and perspectives for the asean energy sector until the year 2040. Endorsed by the 30th asean ministers on energy meeting amem on 12. Reassessing energy security and the transasean natural gas. Opportunities and challenges of lao pdrs integration into. Its energyrelated co 2 emissions have been growing and in 20 amounted to 3. The 4th asean energy outlook aeo4 not only aims to provide policy makers with an understanding of the energy trends and challenges being faced.
The international renewable energy agency irena has worked intensively with the asean centre for energy and aseans ten member states to find ways to accelerate renewable energy deployment in line with the regions goal. Energy stockpiling in the asean energy studies institute, 26 november 20 oil imports, production and gdp oil production, net petroleum imports and gdp in the asean are cointegrated with one another. Meet key decision makers and international experts listen, learn and engage in facetoface discussions with asean energy officials, global energy experts, business leaders and investors. Nov 07, 2017 based on bloombergs new energy finance new energy outlook report, solar and wind power generation will dominate the future of electricity where 72 percent of the 10. The 5th asean energy outlook asean centre for energy. The 5th asean energy outlook aeo5 was developed based on the energy policies and targets of 10 asean member states ams. Asean commercial energy consumption by fuel type, 19601986. Reassessing energy security and the transasean natural gas pipeline network in southeast asia article in pacific affairs 823. With useful data, maps and graphs, here are some clues on the production, distribution, consumption and trade of oil and gas in the region. The 2nd asean energy outlook is an update of the 1st asean energy outlook prepared in 2005 in conjunction with the somemeti joint cooperation program on capacity building for energy supply security planning in the asean.